#trend-following

So far in this series, we’ve only explored the long-only aspect of trend following. However, since we are using derivatives anyway, there is nothing stopping us from going short as well. But should you? The US-centric discussion around trend-following typically assumes that you go both long and short. The kicker for Indian domiciled traders is […]

Our previous post on trend-following used cross-correlations to pick a diverse set of assets and then split the time series to arrive at asset-specific lookback periods to power a binary on/off signal. There are a few drawbacks to this approach: Indian rules and regulations allow a very narrow set of assets to be traded. Being […]

Part I and Part II of our trend-following series illustrated the value of diversification and how it can be used to reduce portfolio drawdowns. The challenge is finding uncorrelated instruments as an Indian-domiciled trader. Irrespective of how you slice it, Indian equity indices are correlated to each other, we only have a handful of commodity […]

A problem while using a single instrument for trend-following is that it tends to go through multiple years of flat returns after a drawdown.

The simplest construction of a trend-following strategy is to take the moving average of closing prices over a certain period of time and…